Post by Deleted on Aug 17, 2018 10:38:26 GMT -5
Upstate NY's warm summer likely to turn into warm fall and winter
Syracuse, N.Y. -- The odds are looking good for a warm fall and a warmer-than-normal winter in Upstate New York, according to the latest long-range forecasts.
In fact, a developing El Nino pattern in the eastern Pacific Ocean is likely to bring warm temperatures to most of continental U.S through next summer, the Climate Prediction Center said today.
For the fall, most of the country is likely to have a normal amount of rainfall and snow fall, although the Great Lakes and Northeast have a better shot at above-average precipitation.
"The temperature and precipitation outlooks are consistent with the elevated probability of El Nino development and its impacts," the center said.
The climate center, a branch of the National Weather Service, says there's a 70 percent chance of an El Nino forming this winter. El Nino is a periodic warming of waters in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, which has global climate impacts.
The last major El Nino was in the winter of 2015-2016. That winter, Syracuse was 5.2 degrees warmer, and had 44 fewer inches of snow, than a typical winter. There's no guarantee that will happen again, but the trend in El Nino winters is warmer than usual.
The impacts of an El Nino, though, tend to be more pronounced early in the season than late. In the winter of 1957-1958, Syracuse had below-normal snowfall in December, but was buried by 72 inches in February.
23 places to see spectacular fall foliage in Upstate NY
Syracuse, N.Y. -- The odds are looking good for a warm fall and a warmer-than-normal winter in Upstate New York, according to the latest long-range forecasts.
In fact, a developing El Nino pattern in the eastern Pacific Ocean is likely to bring warm temperatures to most of continental U.S through next summer, the Climate Prediction Center said today.
For the fall, most of the country is likely to have a normal amount of rainfall and snow fall, although the Great Lakes and Northeast have a better shot at above-average precipitation.
"The temperature and precipitation outlooks are consistent with the elevated probability of El Nino development and its impacts," the center said.
The climate center, a branch of the National Weather Service, says there's a 70 percent chance of an El Nino forming this winter. El Nino is a periodic warming of waters in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, which has global climate impacts.
The last major El Nino was in the winter of 2015-2016. That winter, Syracuse was 5.2 degrees warmer, and had 44 fewer inches of snow, than a typical winter. There's no guarantee that will happen again, but the trend in El Nino winters is warmer than usual.
The impacts of an El Nino, though, tend to be more pronounced early in the season than late. In the winter of 1957-1958, Syracuse had below-normal snowfall in December, but was buried by 72 inches in February.
23 places to see spectacular fall foliage in Upstate NY
www.syracuse.com/weather/index.ssf/2018/08/upstate_nys_warm_summer_likely_to_turn_into_warm_fall_and_winter.html
I would welcome a warmer winter but not at the expense of a lot more snow. Now if it is warm enough so that it DOES NOT SNOW than all the better!
Syracuse, N.Y. -- The odds are looking good for a warm fall and a warmer-than-normal winter in Upstate New York, according to the latest long-range forecasts.
In fact, a developing El Nino pattern in the eastern Pacific Ocean is likely to bring warm temperatures to most of continental U.S through next summer, the Climate Prediction Center said today.
For the fall, most of the country is likely to have a normal amount of rainfall and snow fall, although the Great Lakes and Northeast have a better shot at above-average precipitation.
"The temperature and precipitation outlooks are consistent with the elevated probability of El Nino development and its impacts," the center said.
The climate center, a branch of the National Weather Service, says there's a 70 percent chance of an El Nino forming this winter. El Nino is a periodic warming of waters in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, which has global climate impacts.
The last major El Nino was in the winter of 2015-2016. That winter, Syracuse was 5.2 degrees warmer, and had 44 fewer inches of snow, than a typical winter. There's no guarantee that will happen again, but the trend in El Nino winters is warmer than usual.
The impacts of an El Nino, though, tend to be more pronounced early in the season than late. In the winter of 1957-1958, Syracuse had below-normal snowfall in December, but was buried by 72 inches in February.
23 places to see spectacular fall foliage in Upstate NY
Syracuse, N.Y. -- The odds are looking good for a warm fall and a warmer-than-normal winter in Upstate New York, according to the latest long-range forecasts.
In fact, a developing El Nino pattern in the eastern Pacific Ocean is likely to bring warm temperatures to most of continental U.S through next summer, the Climate Prediction Center said today.
For the fall, most of the country is likely to have a normal amount of rainfall and snow fall, although the Great Lakes and Northeast have a better shot at above-average precipitation.
"The temperature and precipitation outlooks are consistent with the elevated probability of El Nino development and its impacts," the center said.
The climate center, a branch of the National Weather Service, says there's a 70 percent chance of an El Nino forming this winter. El Nino is a periodic warming of waters in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, which has global climate impacts.
The last major El Nino was in the winter of 2015-2016. That winter, Syracuse was 5.2 degrees warmer, and had 44 fewer inches of snow, than a typical winter. There's no guarantee that will happen again, but the trend in El Nino winters is warmer than usual.
The impacts of an El Nino, though, tend to be more pronounced early in the season than late. In the winter of 1957-1958, Syracuse had below-normal snowfall in December, but was buried by 72 inches in February.
23 places to see spectacular fall foliage in Upstate NY
www.syracuse.com/weather/index.ssf/2018/08/upstate_nys_warm_summer_likely_to_turn_into_warm_fall_and_winter.html
I would welcome a warmer winter but not at the expense of a lot more snow. Now if it is warm enough so that it DOES NOT SNOW than all the better!